Images above: www.WikiLeaks.org returns error message ar 8:35pm PST on 12/2/10.
Video above: Al Jazeera "Inside" news feature on Julian Assange. From (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=66CHVHH-fk8)Why Prosecute WikiLeaks?
Images above: www.WikiLeaks.org returns error message ar 8:35pm PST on 12/2/10.
Video above: Al Jazeera "Inside" news feature on Julian Assange. From (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=66CHVHH-fk8)The Road to Nowhere
By Guy McPherson on 1 December 2010 in Transition Voice -
(http://transitionvoice.com/2010/12/the-road-to-nowhere)
Image above: Firestorm on 10/25/03 in San Bernardino, CA burned several hundred homes. From (http://www.wildlandfire.com/pics/grprix/grandprix.htm).
When I wrote about the topic of global climate change in this space a mere two months ago, the situation was dire.
Each of a series of assessments indicated an increasingly disturbing outcome for global average temperature. The latest of those assessments, based on more data and more sophisticated models than prior efforts, suggest we have passed tipping points that may lead to the extinction of our own species, along with many others. A global average increase of two degrees Celsius likely leads to runaway greenhouse. This means destruction of most human habitat on Earth.
About six weeks after my brief review graced Transition Voice, the situation took a turn for the worse. The International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook was released in early November. It contains a shocking assessment: We’re headed for a global average temperature increase of 3.5 C by 2035. If an increase of two degrees spells runaway greenhouse, you can bet the consequences of a 3.5 degree increase within 25 years is catastrophic.
The upside
On the other hand, I also pointed out unexpectedly good news in my previous essay. Completion of the ongoing collapse of the world’s industrial economy might prove sufficient to save the planet and us.Although climate-change assessments fail to incorporate positive geo-physical feedbacks such as the release of methane hydrates and decreased albedo, they also leave out the negative feedback of world economic collapse. Yet it appears a single path — collapse of the world’s industrial economy — allows us to avoid runaway greenhouse and the associated extinction of Homo Sapiens.
Fortunately for us, we’re inadvertently following that path.
Assuming we transition from economic collapse to economic growth or to a steady-state economy, what are the likely outcomes?
If we could wrest control of policy from the corporations who currently run the government, what choices would be wisest?
What are the costs and consequences of choosing to pursue action on the climate-change front?
Two roads diverged
First, let’s consider two simple outcomes associated with the no-action alternative to which federal and state governments are firmly committed: (1) runaway climate change and (2) no significant change in climate.If climate change turns out to be as dire as predicted, then pursuing the current no-action path leads to probable extinction of human life on Earth. First, though, we will cause mass human suffering by destroying our ability to grow food. We’ll also continue to cause the extinction of several hundred species daily. But never mind the non-human species we’re driving to extinction.
After all, we’ve never expressed serious interest in them in the past. Instead let’s focus on the ability to produce food for our large and growing human population.
Gleaning the truth
Many people assume food-producing regions will change locations as the planet heats up. If we can no longer produce grains in the Midwestern US, these folks believe, we’ll simply move the great American breadbasket further north.This would turn Canada into a food-producing superpower. Unfortunately, however, that’s an unlikely outcome. Canadian soils are no match for the deep, organic-rich soils of the American Midwest. Climate might be favorable for crop production as Canada warms, but grossly inadequate soil isn’t.
If climate chaos turns out to be a false alarm then the path of non action appears to be the correct one. We don’t have to make big economic sacrifices on behalf of an ambiguous future if Earth can tolerate infinite carbon emissions.
This tidbit of good news comes with a warning, however. At some point, the thousands of species we’re driving to extinction catches up with us. At some point, wiping out the pollinators, decomposers, and direct sources of our food turns out badly. We depend on other species for our own survival in ways we barely understand.
I’ll not make the ethical case for saving non-human species because I don’t know a dozen people in the industrialized world who care about them. But I’ll make a selfish one: we need those species for our own survival.
As with the no-action alternative, simplistically I will address two outcomes associated with the “take-action” side of the climate-change issue.
If we take significant action — which at this point probably entails allowing complete collapse of the world’s industrial economy — and climate change turns out to have been a hoax, then we’ve obviously made a horrible mistake by terminating the dream of never-ending economic growth.
We will have destroyed the potential for every high school student in the US to spend a summer in Europe for immersion in another culture (sic).
We will have caused economic hardship that will lead to destruction of the social safety net upon which we’ve come to depend. We will have caused people in industrialized countries to forgo fuel at gas stations, food at grocery stores, and water coming out of the municipal taps.
This scenario sounds horrific. But in fact, it’s nirvāna.
Pull the plug, save the patient
Only by terminating the world’s industrial economy is there any hope for the thousands of species we drive to extinction every year.Only by terminating the world’s industrial economy is there any hope for the people in non-industrialized countries we oppress to prop up economic growth in the “developed” world. As a consequence, only by terminating the world’s industrial economy is there any hope for the future of our own species to squeeze through the Sixth Great Extinction.
The second outcome, if we take action, is the potential for averting runaway greenhouse. Please read the prior paragraph again. All the benefits listed there are realized anew in light of the ongoing and accelerating climate-change apocalypse.
Further, averting climate chaos, if it’s possible at this late date, spares us environmental catastrophe in the near term. Averting climate chaos, if it’s possible at this late date, spares us catastrophic hurricanes, wildfires, floods, dust bowls, famines, epidemics, and climate refugees. Averting climate chaos, if it’s possible at this late date, spares us miserable lives and untimely deaths for the 205,000 new people we add each day to an overshot planet.
Resistance against the imperialism of never-ending economic growth is imperative, and not merely for our privileges. Our very survival as a species hangs in the balance. For those of us young enough to anticipate being alive in 2035, our survival as individuals is at stake.
We're Toast
By Guy McPherson on 1 December 2010 in Nature Bats Last -
(http://guymcpherson.com/2010/12/were-toast/)
When people tell me the dire messages about which I write don’t resonate with other people, I struggle with a coherent response. Would you prefer continued overshoot on an overshot planet? Would you prefer we keep heating our overheated home? Would you prefer we ignore the most important issues in the history of our species? Party on, brothers and sisters, when you bother to extract your head from
And then, there’s reality. I’ll go there. You’ve been warned.
We’re irrevocably broke. I’ve made that announcement before. Finally, though, mainstream financial analysts are joining the party of reality.
Perhaps our individual and collective bankruptcy (of every kind) explains why 79.6% of respondents to a Scientific American poll are unwilling to forgo even a single penny to forestall the risk of catastrophic climate change. Scientific American readers undoubtedly are better informed than the general populace. And yet they won’t pay a thing to avoid extinction of our species. Kinda makes you warm and fuzzy all over, doesn’t it?
At the request of corporate CEOs and their minions, high-level politicians, we’ll spend, spend, spend to keep propping up the industrial economy that is making us crazy and killing us.
Far be it for me to suggest those CEOs and politicians are killing us directly — I’ll leave that charge to others — but there is no doubt this system is destroying every aspect of the living planet on which we depend for our lives. In return, we’ll throw away fiat currency in the name of infrastructure so we can maintain our non-negotiable, completely disastrous way of life.
But we won’t spend
Excuse me, I need to wretch into my composting toilet. I encourage you to do the same. I’ll wait.
Mind you, it’s too late to avoid terrifyingly bad climate change, and avoiding catastrophe seems increasingly unlikely, even to the mainstream media. The numbers keep coming at us, too: greenhouse gases are near the all-time peak, at least since the industrial era began. The United Nations concurs: We’re unlikely to avoid runaway greenhouse.
In short, we’re toast. For a brief yet comprehensive overview of recent assessments and projections, take a look at my latest essay at Transition Voice.
The numbers keep pouring in, faster even than we can keep track: 2010 will join 1998 as hottest since 1850. Or maybe it’ll break this most dire of records and become the warmest year ever. In light of this news, emissions are on the rise, and the talks in Cancun are set to fail.
As I’ve indicated many times, there are no politically viable solutions to climate change. Politicians who propose cutting back emissions sufficiently to make a minor dent in the predicament will be drawn and quartered. Survivors will be hung. Then shot.
The anticipated response from Homo consumicus: We don’t need no stinkin’ solutions. Overshoot? Not on my planet. Oppression? So what? We’re number one.
As with anthropogenic climate change, I’ve also pointed out the absence of politically viable solutions to peak oil and the attendant economic consequences. A minor example of the economic impacts of expensive oil occurs every time we eclipse $80 oil when, shortly thereafter, sovereign defaults fill the news. Iceland. Greece.
Now the Eurozone debt crisis is escalating. Or, to put a finer point on it, the game is up in the Eurozone, with violence is on the rise. And, as it turns out, Japan and the U.S. are circling the same drain as the entire Eurozone, although most Americans haven’t figured it out yet because the fair and balanced pundits at Fox News haven’t told us.
Much to the chagrin and willful ignorance of the mainstream media and also editors at sites that focus on energy, including The Oil Drum and Energy Bulletin, the industrial economy could reach its overdue terminus quite soon. It’s far too late for a fast collapse of the industrial economy: By virtually every economic measure, we’ve experienced a lost decade already.
The last superpower didn’t take this long to fall, and few civilizations have hung on as long as this, the worst of them. In the midst of economic turmoil and pathetic models, even economists admit they haven’t a clue.
Evidence for completion of the ongoing collapse of the industrial economy continues to mount. For starters, the smart money is selling out of U.S. stock markets as U.S. banks are hoarding funds instead of loaning.
The American love affair with stocks is over. States are imploding one by one (and then, if we’re lucky, all at once). The Federal Reserve is bailing out a surprising array of corporations, foreign banks, and, of course, the big banks in the U.S. (the latter to the tune of $9 trillion). Unemployment compensation benefits just ended for another two million people in the U.S. The U.S. government’s attempts to reflate the housing bubble have been overtaken by economic reality.
Meanwhile, we spend money we don’t have on the ongoing, never-ending war in Afghanistan, which — not surprisingly to regular readers here — is not about Afghanistan at all.
If there is any doubt about the moral hypocrisy underlying this empire, consider the governments of the “free world” joining Fox News and Republican presidential hopeful Mike Huckabee in calling for the assassination of Julian Assange because he dares expose the truth about American Empire. In response, Amazon bows to political pressure by pulling the plug on free speech.
And no wonder. It’s one thing to mess with Obomber and Chillary, but there’s no way Assange will get away with taking on a big U.S. bank. I’ll excuse you while you take another break to puke.
Increasingly, the blogosphere is filled with people who recognize the increasingly obvious ongoing economic collapse for what it is. Although there is little agreement about the causes, the consensus is growing about where we’re headed.
A quick online search of a few of the following names gives a few clues about the breadth and depth of the people and organizations warning about and, in some cases, preparing for near-term collapse of the industrial economy (this list is not comprehensive):
Niall Ferguson, Michael Ruppert, Karl Denninger, Rob Viglione, Bill Bonner, Gerald Celente, Jeff Rubin, Matt Savinar, Catherine Austin Fitts, Charles Munger, Gonzalo Lira, Joe Bageant, Dave Cohen, Jan Lundberg, Matt Simmons, Chris Hedges, Dmitry Orlov, Michael Snyder, Nicole Foss, Paul Craig Roberts, Marc Faber, Bill Bonner, James Wesley Rawles, Tony Robbins, Nouriel Roubini, Max Keiser, Tyler Durden, Chris Martenson, James Kwak, Simon Johnson, Chris Clugston, Kenneth Deffeyes, John Taylor, Samsam Bakhtiari, James Howard Kunstler, Bob Chapman, George Ure, Anthony Fry, Igor Panarin, G. Edward Griffin, Joseph Meyer, Harry Dent, John Williams, Richard Russell, Niño Becerra, Martin Weiss, Eric deCarbonnel, Robin Landry, John P. Hussman, Robert Prechter, Richard Mogey, Peter Schiff, Lindsey Williams, Hugh Hendry, Arthur Laffer, Bob Janjuah, Jeff Gundlach, Société Générale.I am not suggesting even a slim minority of these fine people understand the good news associated with the ongoing economic collapse, and there is no consensus on the role of peak oil in triggering it. As nearly as I can determine, most of these folks view western civilization as a fine idea and, reflecting society, they prefer extinction of our species to the decline of civilization.
Personally, I don’t care what phenomenon gets the credit for bringing down the industrial economy, as long as it happens quickly. Peak oil? Fine. Overwhelming debt load leading to default? Superb. Hyperinflation?
Good idea. Deflation to the point of Dow Zero? Wonderful.
Take your pick, somebody’s touting it as the route to the industrial economy’s imminent demise.
As should be clear even to the casual reader, all roads lead to Rome. And Rome is burning.
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COPS16 First Day
Image above: Pool at the Moon Palace Hotel in Cancun, Mexico. Host facility of COP16. From (http://www.flickr.com/photos/39712788@N00/293996042).
By Albert Bates on 30 November 2010 in The Great Change -
(http://peaksurfer.blogspot.com/2010/11/cimientos-de-cancun.html)
Cancún, México, November 30.
Uniformly, expectations are being downplayed for any concrete action to be achieved here, which makes one only wonder, so why are 15,000 people converging on Cancún to work on a treaty to prevent catastrophic climate change?
Michael Jacobs, one of UKPM Gordon Brown's climate change advisers, told a London newspaper “Let's get the bad news out of the way first – there isn't going to be a legally binding global climate treaty for at least three years.” That seems the consensus view here.
Which made it all the more interesting that on one wall of Cancún Messe are these charts of delegates’ and observers’ carbon footprints for all of the Climate COPs since the Earth Charter was translated into the big three frameworks for action (the convention on climate change, the convention on biodiversity and the convention on desertification) — 17 years ago.
If people are trying to save the planet from the runaway carbon cycle, is having meetings in places that maximize our carbon footprint the best way to do that?
Cancún is particularly poignant as COP sites go, because it is such a perfect encapsulation of the mental disconnect between the scale of the challenge and what will be actually required. We can either impose that requirement on ourselves by legally-binding treaty or it will be imposed on us involuntarily by Newtonian physics. Nature bats last.
A mere forty years ago this area had been a string of small fishing villages working the seemingly inexaustible reef ecosystems for a daily catch, and beyond the beach, dense rainforest and tiny, remote Mayan settlements all the way to Mérida, the colonial capital of New Spain.
México decided to invest its one-time bonanza of petrodollars — now in rapid decline, not to say freefall — in tourism. In that 40 years it went from exporting food to the world to becoming a net importer of its most important staples — rice, beans and corn. Instead of selling huaraches and jalapeños, it sold turquoise beaches, Jose Cuervo tequila, and Corona. México cut a 50-mile swath of mangroves to erect luxury resort hotels and tethered itself to multi-thousand-mile jet flights from London, Paris and Atlanta. Now that peak oil has arrived, it is a good day to die.
Climate change will heal the sore that Cancún has scratched, because all of this will soon enough be under the Caribbean Sea. It was there recently, between the last two ice ages, when a 1-degree C increase covered a large part of this flat, low-lying Yucatán Peninsula with ocean. This will happen again, in the lifetime of many of the delegates here. Perhaps that is why they are partying like its 1999.
The center of the conference is in the Hotel Moon Palace, with 2,457 rooms fetching some $750 per night. Each room comes with a double-occupancy Jacuzzi and a sea view, liquor dispenser with top shelf brands of whiskey, rum, tequila and vodka, and LCD TV with Fox News locked in. There are three Jack Nicklaus golf courses and spas and a half-dozen upscale restaurants with dinner buffets starting at $50 if you didn’t book the all-inclusive.
You can swim to two of the restaurants (and three beach bars) by either the ocean or the 220-meter chlorine river that winds through the connecting patios by the beach. With their rooms comp’d by their governments, delegates can unwind with a hot stone and aloe massage by the pool, balneotherapy in one of 6 private suites, or facials and body scrubs in 20 spa rooms.
If mingling with lower classes is not for you, the Moon Palace has 50 Presidential Suites where everything can be brought to you by skilled professionals.
Last Saturday, Mexican President Felipe Calderon dedicated the State’s first commercial-scale wind turbine, announcing that it will provide “part” of the hotel’s electricity and save carbon for the conference. Given that each double Jacuzzi generates 35 times more carbon dioxide than an ordinary bath and 80 times more than a five-minute shower, we’re guessing that the wind will only make a very small contribution even to México’s public relations.
The Climate Action Network voted Canada its first Cancún Fossil of the Day Award for a year of climate inaction, but the New Face of Moet Champagne, Canadian Scarlett Johansson, has gotten into the Jacuzzi with Tcktcktck and Oxfam. The actress has signed an open letter as an Oxfam Global Ambassador “to call on international negotiators to protect the world's poor from climate catastrophe.” Leonardo DiCaprio, another respected climate change celebrity, has received praise from environmental groups for flying on commercial airlines rather than by private jet. In fairness, earlier this week he donated $1 million to the World Wildlife Fund to protect wild tigers around the world. They don’t fly by private jet either.
So it should come as no surprise that at the official reception dinner, where all the music was provided by military bands, the food was catered by Margarita Carrillo de Salinas, owner and executive chef of Don Emiliano in Cabo San Lucas, Casa México in Mexico City and La Colina in Tokyo. Chef Margarita is the leader of the Slow Food movement in Baja and recently accepted a UN award on behalf of México for its “World Heritage” cuisine. It was lovely to see La Maestra getting down with the Mariachis and dancing until after midnight with delegates and NGOs.
In all of this, there is an abiding sense of dancing on a grave. The trouble is, it is our grave. All of ours. There is no joy in that, not really. There is only a profound disconnect.
See also:
Ea O Ka Aina: COP16 as Cancun Disappears 12/1/10
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COP16 as Cancun disappears
By Mark Stevenson on 30 November 2010 for Huffington Post -
(http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/30/un-climate-change-confere_n_790129.html)
Image above: Cancun beach erosion undermines hotel seawall in 2009. From (http://www.cancuninfo.net/2009/12/cancun-beach-recovery-update-dec-82009).
Cancun's eroding white sand beaches are providing a note of urgency to the climate talks being held just south of this seaside resort famed for its postcard-perfect vistas.
Rising sea levels and a series of unusually powerful hurricanes have aggravated the folly of building a tourist destination atop shifting sand dunes on a narrow peninsula. After the big storms hit, the bad ideas were laid bare: Much of Cancun's glittering hotel strip is now without a beach.
Hotels built too tall, too heavy and too close to the shore, as well as beaches stripped of native vegetation to make them more tourist-friendly, have contributed to the massive erosion.
"It was the chronicle of a disaster foretold," said Exequiel Ezcurra, the former head of Mexico's environmental agency. "Everybody knew this was going to happen. This had been predicted for 40 years."
Cancun's beaches largely disappeared after Category 4 Hurricane Wilma hit in 2005, leaving waves lapping against hotel foundations or against rocks.
Four category 4 and 5 hurricanes have hit Mexico in the past decade, the highest rate in 40 years and equal to all those in the preceding three decades, according to Mexico's National Meteorological Service. Many scientists blame such extreme weather patterns on climate change.
The coastline erosion was worsened by a rise in sea level, which has grown at a rate of about 2.2 millimeters a year.
"It doesn't sound like much, but ... in an area as low as that sandbar, it doesn't help, especially when the sandbar doesn't have the properties to compensate for sea level," Ezcurra said.
In a major restoration project last year, millions of cubic yards (meters) of sand were dredged from the sandy bottom of the Caribbean and pumped ashore in Cancun. The project created a seven-mile stretch of beach some 40 to 70 yards (meters) wide, at a cost of about $70 million.
It is already washing away. Waves have carved a waist-high shelf into the beach and Assistant Tourism Secretary Hector de la Cruz acknowledges that 6 percent to 8 percent of the new sand has been swept away – even without any major storms.
It was the second time such an undertaking had been tried; a $19 million beach restoration effort in 2006 also washed away, finished off by a Category 5 hurricane, Dean, that hit further down the coast in 2007.
Officials hope each disaster will be the last and the sand will somehow stick.
"The erosion was really caused by Hurricane Wilma stalling over the area, and we just have to hope we don't get another one like that," De la Cruz said.
Tourists and local residents are skeptical.
Fernando Garcia, a 47-year-old opal dealer from Bilbao, Spain, strode up the steep Delfines beach after a swim in the turquoise waters and gazed back to the shelf the waves have carved in the sand.
"In a year or two, another hurricane will come and the same thing will happen all over again," he said. "This is an absurd waste of money."
In a financial sense, however, it still works. Cancun remains the biggest money-earner of all of Mexico's tourist destinations, bringing in about $3 billion per year – about a quarter of Mexico's tourism income.
"I wouldn't talk about Cancun as an error," said De la Cruz. "I think Cancun is one of the most successful tourist developments not just in Mexico, but in the entire Caribbean."
And those with enough money to stay here continue to enjoy it – perhaps even more, as the climate undergoes increasingly large swings.
Margaret Young, a retired teacher from Winnipeg, Canada, came to Cancun as unusually heavy storms lashed her hometown.
"We feel climate change," Young said. "We get storms in the summer that we never used to get."
And the foot of snow that fell in the Winnipeg area in late November was also unusual. "We used to get some snow, but not that severe," she said.
Told that the beach she and her friends were enjoying was largely artificial, Young said: "How would you know from looking at it? It's fabulous, one of the nicest beaches ever."
All the debate might be academic if it weren't for the fact that pumping huge amounts of sand affects both the ocean floor ecosystems where the sand was removed, and the coral reefs that lie offshore.
That's because sand from the sea bottom contains fine sediments that wash away with the tide from the newly restored beaches and onto the reefs, blocking out sunlight and causing them to secrete mucuous-like substances, said Roberto Iglesias, a biologist with the Ocean Sciences Institute of Mexico's National Autonomous University.
Experiments are still under way to judge the exact effects, but there is evidence that sea grasses have suffered higher die-offs from previous beach restoration efforts, said Iglesias, who works on coral reefs and coastal environments in Puerto Morelos, just outside Cancun, where the two-week U.N. climate change conference is being held.
Experts note that dredging sandy sea bottoms affects the populations that live there, such as conches, octopus and sea cucumbers.
Iglesias recalled one local official saying the resort had to choose restoring the beaches over protecting coral reefs "because the majority of Cancun's inhabitants make their living off the beaches, not the reefs."
De la Cruz, whose agency oversaw the sand-dredging project, blames more frequent, violent storms for the erosion and maintains "all the beaches in the Caribbean are vulnerable to these natural events."
But the former head of Mexico's environmental agency, Exequiel Ezcurra, says Cancun was built with fatal flaws.
Tall hotels force winds downward onto the beach, creating eddies that encourage erosion. Waves that once might have rolled harmlessly right over the dunes now smack into solid hotel foundations, and rebound – filled with sand – back out to sea. And the very weight of big hotels might be pressing the unstable sand peninsula downward.
Fittingly for the scene of what some see as an environmental crime, the coastal resort has increasingly been marked by police tape. In July 2009, marines cordoned off the beach in front of a Cancun hotel that had built an illegal breakwater to hoard sand.
The armed guards treated the stretch of beach as a stolen property case: While such cement jetties often benefit the builder, they rob properties down-current of their natural flow of sand.
Garcia says the powder sand beaches – unblemished by the shrubs, vines and dune grasses that might hold it together – are "something made up, intended as a promotional picture."
But he concedes their effectiveness. "This is something to be used to sell the idea of the resort to people who live in cold climates," he said.
See also:
Ea O Ka Aina: Clearing the air in Cancun 11/29/10
Ea O Ka Aina: Rise of the Climate Hawks 10/27/10
Ea O Ka Aina: Soot is half of Climate Change 7/30/10
Ea O Ka Aina: COP15 Journal - Day 16 12/19/09
Ea O Ka Aina: Climate Deal in Copenhagen 12/18/10
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Freedom of speech or criminality
Image above: Congressman Peter King (R-NY) is asking for terrorist charges against Julian Assange. From (http://www.digitaljournal.com/article/275646).
By Ann Woolner on 1 December 2010 for Bloomberg News -
()
Attorney General Eric Holder wants us all to know that the Justice Department has begun a dead-serious probe into WikiLeaks’s release of hundreds of thousands of internal government documents, many of them classified.
It is an “active, ongoing criminal investigation,” he told reporters this week as news stories stemming from the document dump appeared.
President Barack Obama’s top spokesman went further. Robert Gibbs called those responsible “criminals, first and foremost.”
You can say that WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange is reckless and dangerous for making the documents public.
You can say he’s hurt the international conversation among diplomats and endangered the lives of innocent people who have helped the U.S. in time of war, people who staked their lives on promises of anonymity.
But before you call someone a criminal, you have to have a law that you can say he broke. Holder is going to have a hard time doing that with Assange.
If the attorney general were confident, he wouldn’t have answered a reporter’s question about difficulties in prosecuting Assange this way:
“To the extent there are gaps in the laws, we will move to close those gaps.”
This is essentially an acknowledgement of a hole in the law. And even if prosecutors can leap across that, they’d then face a really big hurdle in the form of the First Amendment.
Out of Reach
Yes, Congress can pass new laws and amend old ones, and would no doubt be happy to do so if it meant locking up Assange. But it wouldn’t.
New laws can’t criminalize past conduct. The Constitution clearly bans so-called ex post facto laws so that the government can’t toss someone in jail for something that was legal at the time it was done.
Besides, even if current law were sufficient, how would authorities bring Assange, an Australian native in hiding outside the U.S., into this country to stand trial?
Presented with this question, Holder told reporters that no one’s foreign citizenship or residence would prevent them from being targeted. But that brings us back to this question: on what charge could he be indicted?
Without that, Assange could live next door to Holder and wave at him daily without fear of arrest as the nation’s top prosecutor went off to work.
Espionage Act
No law criminalizes civilian release of classified information, except in rare circumstance, such as revealing the name of an undercover agent or disclosing secret codes. Britain has an Official Secrets Act, but prosecutions are hard to mount, difficult to win and easy to lambast as politically motivated.
All we’ve got is that World War I-era spy law, the Espionage Act of 1917. Representative Peter King, the New York Republican and next chairman of the House Homeland Security Committee, sent Holder a letter this week urging him to use the law to charge Assange.
The best shot at making that work would be by proving Assange encouraged the leak and conspired with his inside source to disgorge the documents. An Army private first class has been charged under military law with some of the leaks.
And even if investigators can find a clear conspiracy between the two, a ruling by a federal judge in another case shows it isn’t easy to use the spy law to prosecute civilians.
‘Messy Prosecution’
“The government would still have to prove it was potentially damaging to national security, that he knew it was potentially damaging, that he understood that his conduct was unlawful,” says Baruch Weiss, a former U.S. prosecutor who helped defend two lobbyists charged with violating that law.
Image above: Former governor Mike Huckabee (R-AK) is asking for execution of those responsible for WikiLeaks. From (http://www.inquisitr.com/50009/huckabee-clemency).
“This would be a messy prosecution,” says Weiss, a partner at Arnold & Porter in Washington.
There isn’t much court precedent on the point, but the lobbyists got a boost from a 2006 ruling that limited the scope of the broadly written espionage law. The ruling, by U.S. District Judge T.S. Ellis III in Alexandria, Virginia, helped persuade Holder last year to drop the case against the two lobbyists for the American Israel Public Affairs Committee.
They had been charged in 2005 for getting and passing along confidential government information in a way they claimed was perfectly legal and common in Washington.
Any prosecution of Assange would come up against First Amendment issues. How can you criminalize speech, especially political speech, especially on matters of grave public importance? That would seem to fly in the face of the Constitution’s promise of a free press and free speech.
Help From Allies
The administration’s best chance of getting Assange behind bars would be to get someone else to do it. The Daily Beast website reported in August that American officials were pitching the idea to the U.K., Australia and Germany, arguing that their troops, too, have been harmed by the leaks.
Those are countries without the clear constitutional guarantees of free speech that the U.S. has. It might work, but there’s a reason the founders insisted on free speech and a free press.
Whatever harm the leaks have caused, slipping around the First Amendment isn’t the way to fix it.
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Wikileaks diplomatic cable results
Image above: Wreckage of US tanks, hummers, and personnel carriers. From (http://forums.cadetstuff.org/viewtopic.php?f=37&t=14868).
By Arianna Huffington on 30 November 2010 for Huffingon Post - (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/arianna-huffington/the-wikileaks-cables-smal_b_790158.html)
Let's start with what the U.S. embassy cables released by WikiLeaks this weekend are not.
They are not, as Hillary Clinton claimed, "an attack on America's foreign policy interests" that have endangered "innocent people." And they are not, as Robert Gibbs put it, a "reckless and dangerous action" that puts at risk "the cause of human rights."
And they do not amount to what the Italian foreign minister, in one of the sorrier moments in the history of hyperbole (or is it hysteria?), deemed the "September 11 of world diplomacy."
They are also not "top secret" since between 2 and 3 million government employees are cleared to see this level of "secret" document, and some 500,000 people have access to the Secret Internet Protocol Network (SIPRnet) where the cables were stored. Maybe they should think about changing the name to the Not-All-That Secret Internet Protocol Network (NATSIPRnet).
What's more, the revelations are not particularly revelatory. As Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, said: "Much of what we have seen thus far confirms more than it informs."
But here is what makes the leaked cables so important: they provide another opportunity to turn the spotlight on the war in Afghanistan, which, despite the fact that it's costing us $2.8 billion a week keeps getting pushed into the shadows -- even in this deficit-obsessed time. The cables are a powerful reminder of what this unwinnable war is costing us in terms of lives, in terms of money, and in terms of our long-term national security.
They don't deliver the punch in the gut or the chill down the spine that the Afghanistan war logs WikiLeaks released in July did, with their disturbing accounts of killed civilians, dead children, confused soldiers, and mounting chaos.
But the funny thing about tipping points is that you never know what fact, image, or story will bring things to a critical mass -- what small moment will cause a big idea to finally take hold.
Picture a very complicated combination lock, one that requires dialing up eight different numbers to open. And you have seven of the numbers -- but the lock still won't open until you hit upon that final number. 1/8th may not seem as "big" as 7/8ths, but without the final click of the combination, the tumblers won't fall into place.
"We need to prepare ourselves," wrote Malcolm Gladwell in The Tipping Point, "for the possibility that sometimes big changes follow from small events, and that sometimes these changes can happen quickly... Look at the world around you. It may seem an immovable, implacable place. It is not. With the slightest push -- in just the right place -- it can be tipped."
So maybe the tipping point will be the cables' reminder that we have placed our faith in the future of Afghanistan into the hands of a president our diplomats think is "extremely weak" and "driven by paranoia." Maybe it will be the news that President Karzai has freed many dangerous detainees -- including 29 who had been held at Guantanamo -- and pardoned numerous drug dealers. Maybe it will be yet another portrait of the president's half-brother as "corrupt and a narcotics trafficker." Maybe it will be the story of Afghanistan's former vice president being stopped in Dubai carrying $52 million in cash -- money he was allowed to keep. (Here's Dan Froomkin on the many other ways billions in American taxpayer money has gone down the drain in Afghanistan -- money desperately needed for some nation-building here at home.)
Or maybe it will be the bracing honesty of Anne Patterson, U.S. ambassador to Pakistan from 2007 until last month, who, without spin, sheds light on the complex relationship between our supposed allies in the Pakistan intelligence agencies and the Taliban, a relationship that poses a clear and present danger to American troops in Afghanistan. In the words of Simon Jenkins: "Patterson's cables are like missives from the Titanic as it already heads for the bottom."
If any of these revelations tip the scales, reminding people why bringing our troops home quickly needs to be more -- much more -- than "aspirational" (as the Pentagon recently termed the goal of being out by 2014), then this round of WikiLeaks will have been a very good thing, indeed.
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Vatican backs worldwide GMOs
By Matthew McDermott on 1 December 2010 for TreeHugger - (http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/12/papal-science-advisors-worlds-poor-need-gm-crops.php)
Image above: Small scale African farming. Photo by Luigi Gaurino in original article.
The Vatican's science advisors have come out in support of genetically modified crops, saying that they scientists have both the right and moral duty to produce them to help the world's poor, New Scientist reports. The 40 member group, led by the scientist who developed so-called golden rice which has extra vitamin A, said that there has not been one documented case where GM crops have harmed consumers or the environment.
Because of this the group argues, "for the relaxation of what they say are draconian regulations preventing development of crops for the poor." Adding that "regulatory hurdles make it too expensive for anyone other than large multinational firms to develop crops benefiting the poor, such as drought-resistant cassava and yams."
No doubt that the world's farmers, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia and in other developing nations, need to develop more drought-resistant and climate-tolerant crop varieties. One glance at maps of areas with high levels of food security risk and where climate change is going to cause havoc with precipitation backs up that assertion.
But a quick survey of the literature on the actual effect of GM crops on crop yields reveals that the primary financial beneficiaries of GM crop introduction is not small-scale farmers but the multinational corporations and their ideological lapdogs (cough, Bill Gates, cough) pushing them as the best solution, and that GM crops on the whole have done little to improve crop yields beyond what can be done with conventional (and non-patentable) breeding techniques--as well as revival of the multitude of traditional crop varieties which have all too often fallen by the wayside in the rush to "modernize".
Quoted in the original, Friends of the Earth is right on when it comments, "We need food and farming policies that put the needs of people before the profits of a handful of GMO companies."
Even if it can be conclusively proven that there is no environmental and health risk from specific GM crops, the inherently unbalanced and inequitable situation created by a small number of multinationals controlling so much of the world's food supply--and putting an end to the age-old and vitally important for sustainable food security practice of seed saving--remains an intractable problem.
It is no true or lasting help to the world's poor to develop GM crops that are drought-tolerant if it just continues to keep them perpetually indebted to corporate overlords.
See also: Ea O Ka Aina: Bill Gates & Demon Corn 9/30/10 Ea O Ka Aina: Oxfam at odds over GMO's 4/14/10
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