Chernobyl & Fukushima

SUBHEAD: The secrecy of events at concerning Fukushima Dai Ichi are worrying many observers and interfering with knowing the truth.

 By Raul Ilargi Meijer on 26 April 2011 for Automatic Earth -  
(http://theautomaticearth.blogspot.com/2011/04/april-26-2011-race-to-bottom-goes-to.html)

 
Image above: Still from "Battle for Chernobyl" (see below) showing nuclear explosion in reactor building. It is similar looking to the explosion in Fukushima Dai Ichi Reactor #3 which contained MOX fuel and suffered an explosion different from Reactor #1.

As we remember the 25th anniversary of Chernobyl, it's getting clearer by the day that the level of secrecy exercised by Tepco, the Japanese government, and its international allies, rivals that of the Russian government 25 years ago. And the way things are going, Fukushima may soon surpass Chernobyl in the "secrecy files".

When it became clear that Chernobyl had spewed its radioactive clouds up to thousands of miles away, for instance to Scandinavia, at least the Russians went in with all they could muster, deploying the full force of the army plus tens of thousands of "volunteers". Japan today, on the other hand, is still mired in the denial phase. Which is becoming increasingly dangerous. There are increasingly reports coming out that claim that at least one of the explosions witnessed at Fukushima was not a hydrogen blast, but a nuclear explosion -in a spent fuel pool-.

And while there won't be an instant runaway reaction like the one at Chernobyl, simply because the reactor design doesn't lend itself to it, this should be reason enough for grave concern (as well as transparency, of course, but don’t hold your breath on that one). And there are other twist emerging. Professor Chris Busby, scientific secretary for the European Committee for Radiation Risks, states that a major difference between the two disasters lies in the amount of people living close to the blast site. So while the radioactive parts spread over a far smaller area, the immediate surroundings of Fukushima contain far more people. And Tokyo must by now even be greatly concerned about, well, Tokyo.

Which may well be a major reason for the ongoing "policy" of continued opacity as executed by Japan. Prof. Busby points to yet another issue that Tokyo is running up against: in his view, because there's still nuclear fissioning taking place at Fukushima, placing a sarcophagus over the reactor sites has no use, since -highly- radioactive material will then simply leak out into the ground and flow out to sea. Japan's answer?

An underground wall is being considered. They'd do much better to come clean on what’s actually happening -and what already has-, send in their army with all it's got, and get the smartest minds in the world together to try and find the best way forward. But since Japan has always been a highly secretive society, and the international nuclear industry is as powerful as it is rich, it's far more likely that they will continue to play down the impact, until they can't anymore, and the situation gets completely out of hand, so much so that Fukushima will indeed stand a chance for competing with Chernobyl as the worst nuclear incident ever.


Video above: Interview with Professor Christopher Busby on the 25th Anniversary of Chernobyl. From (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-3Kf4JakWI).

 
Video above: "The Battle for Chernobyl". From (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wv3a4LXi_qc).

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State test on Native Hawaiians

SUBHEAD: Pratt was Native Hawaiian and was exercising customary cultural practices on undeveloped state land.  

By Michael Levine on 25 April 2011 for The Garden Island News - 
(http://thegardenisland.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/article_6b4b3f16-6fd9-11e0-99a1-001cc4c03286.html)

 
Image above: Isn't this how Kalalau Valley should look? Taro glowing in Limahuli Valley, near the beginning of the trail to Kalalau Valley. From (http://kupunakalo.com/index.php/site/field_visits/kauai). 
 
The Hawai‘i Supreme Court has agreed to hear a case in which a Native Hawaiian argues he has a constitutional right to take up residence as a caretaker of a remote state park on Kaua‘i.

The case, State v. Pratt, will go a long way toward deciding whether the exercise of customary and traditional Native Hawaiian practices is allowed even when doing so violates state laws or rules.

Lloyd “Ikaika” Pratt was cited three different times in 2004 for camping in the Kalalau Valley, part of Kaua‘i’s Na Pali Coast State Park, in violation of state rules. He argued that when he set up a camp, cleared land and planted crops, he was protected by the state’s constitutional promise that Native Hawaiians have the right to practice their culture and religion.

His argument was rejected by the trial court.

[Editor's note: We have been asked by CivilBeat.com to not reproduce the entirety of this article. For more see either the TGi article or its source - "Do Hawaiians Have the Right to Break the Rules" at (http://www.civilbeat.com/articles/2011/04/25/10523-do-native-hawaiians-have-the-right-to-break-rules/). Our answer would be "Yes" - in Hawaii Hawaiians can break the rules of the fake state and it's colonial masters.]
 
See also:
The Garden Island: Native Hawaiian Found Guilty 11/13/03

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One Time Through the Bottleneck

SUBHEAD: Almost 200,000 years ago humans faced extinction. Only a few hundred were saved along the coast of Cape Horn.  

By Curtiss W. Marean on 21 July 2010 for Scientific American - 
  (http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=when-the-sea-saved-humanity

 
Image above: The shoreline near Cape Horn, South Africa. From (http://www.holidaydestinationsa2z.org/index.php?section=pages&item=Western-Cape).

Shortly after Homo sapiens arose harsh climate conditions nearly extinguished our species. Recent finds suggest that the small population that gave rise to all humans alive today survived by exploiting a unique combination of resources along the southern coast of Africa.

With the global population of humans currently approaching seven billion, it is difficult to imagine that Homo sapiens was once an endangered species. Yet studies of the DNA of modern-day people indicate that, once upon a time, our ancestors did in fact undergo a dramatic population decline. Although scientists lack a precise timeline for the origin and near extinction of our species, we can surmise from the fossil record that our forebears arose throughout Africa shortly before 195,000 years ago. Back then the climate was mild and food was plentiful; life was good. But around 195,000 years ago, conditions began to deteriorate. The planet entered a long glacial stage known as Marine Isotope Stage 6 (MIS6) that lasted until roughly 123,000 years ago.

A detailed record of Africa’s environmental conditions during glacial stage 6 does not exist, but based on more recent, better-known glacial stages, climatologists surmise that it was almost certainly cool and arid and that its deserts were probably significantly expanded relative to their modern extents. Much of the landmass would have been uninhabitable. While the planet was in the grip of this icy regime, the number of people plummeted perilously—from more than 10,000 breeding individuals to just hundreds. Estimates of exactly when this bottleneck occurred and how small the population became vary among genetic studies, but all of them indicate that everyone alive today is descended from a small population that lived in one region of Africa sometime during this global cooling phase.
I began my career as an archaeologist working in East Africa and studying the origin of modern humans.

But my interests began to shift when I learned of the population bottleneck that geneticists had started talking about in the early 1990s. Humans today exhibit very low genetic diversity relative to many other species with much smaller population sizes and geographic ranges—a phenomenon best explained by the occurrence of a population crash in early H. sapiens. Where, I wondered, did our ancestors manage to survive during the climate catastrophe? Only a handful of regions could have had the natural resources to support hunter-gatherers. Paleoanthropologists argue vociferously over which of these areas was the ideal spot. The southern coast of Africa, rich in shellfish and edible plants year-round, seemed to me as if it would have been a particularly good refuge in tough times.

So, in 1991, I decided I would go there and look for sites with remains dating to glacial stage 6.
My search within that coastal area was not random. I had to find a shelter close enough to the ancient coastline to provide easy access to shellfish and elevated enough that its archaeological deposits would not have been washed away 123,000 years ago when the climate warmed and sea levels surged. In 1999 my South African colleague Peter Nilssen and I decided to investigate some caves he had spotted at a place called Pinnacle Point, a promontory near the town of Mossel Bay that juts into the Indian Ocean. Scrambling down the sheer cliff face, we came across a cave that looked particularly promising—one known simply as PP13B. Erosion of the sedimentary deposits located near the mouth of the cave had exposed clear layers of archaeological remains, including hearths and stone tools.

Even better, a sand dune and a layer of stalagmite capped these remnants of human activity, suggesting that they were quite old. By all appearances, we had hit the jackpot. The following year, after a local ostrich farmer built us a 180-step wooden staircase to allow safer access to the site, we began to dig.

Since then, my team’s excavations at PP13B and other nearby sites have recovered a remarkable record of the activities undertaken by the people who inhabited this area between approximately 164,000 and 35,000 years ago, hence during the bottleneck and after the population began to recover. The deposits in these caves, combined with analyses of the ancient environment there, have enabled us to piece together a plausible account of how the prehistoric residents of Pinnacle Point eked out a living during a grim climate crisis. The remains also debunk the abiding notion that cognitive modernity evolved long after anatomical modernity: evidence of behavioral sophistication abounds in even the oldest archaeological levels at PP13B. This advanced intellect no doubt contributed significantly to the survival of the species, enabling our forebears to take advantage of the resources available on the coast.

While elsewhere on the continent populations of H. sapiens died out as cold and drought claimed the animals and plants they hunted and gathered, the lucky denizens of Pinnacle Point were feasting on the seafood and carbohydrate-rich plants that proliferated there despite the hostile climate. As glacial stage 6 cycled through its relatively warmer and colder phases, the seas rose and fell, and the ancient coastline advanced and retreated. But so long as people tracked the shore, they had access to an enviable bounty.

A Coastal Cornucopia
from a survival standpoint, what makes the southern edge of Africa attractive is its unique combination of plants and animals. There a thin strip of land containing the highest diversity of flora for its size in the world hugs the shoreline. Known as the Cape Floral Region, this 90,000- square-kilometer strip contains an astonishing 9,000 plant species, some 64 percent of which live only there. Indeed, the famous Table Mountain that rises above Cape Town in the heart of the Cape Floral Region has more species of plants than does the entire U.K. Of the vegetation groups that occur in this realm, the two most extensive are the fynbos and the renosterveld, which consist largely of shrubs. To a human forager equipped with a digging stick, they offer a valuable commodity: the plants in these groups produce the world’s greatest diversity of geophytes—underground energy-storage organs such as tubers, bulbs and corms.

Geophytes are an important food source for modern-day hunter-gatherers for several reasons. They contain high amounts of carbohydrate; they attain their peak carbohydrate content reliably at certain times of year; and, unlike aboveground fruits, nuts and seeds, they have few predators. The bulbs and corms that dominate the Cape Floral Region are additionally appealing because in contrast to the many geophytes that are highly fibrous, they are low in fiber relative to the amount of energy-rich carbohydrate they contain, making them more easily digested by children. (Cooking further enhances their digestibility.) And because geophytes are adaptations to dry conditions, they would have been readily available during arid glacial phases.

The southern coast also has an excellent source of protein to offer, despite not being a prime hunting ground for large mammals. Just offshore, the collision of nutrient-rich cold waters from the Benguela upwelling and the warm Agul­has current creates a mix of cold and warm eddies along the southern coast. This varied ocean environment nurtures diverse and dense beds of shellfish in the rocky intertidal zones and sandy beaches. Shellfish are a very high quality source of protein and omega-3 fatty acids. And as with geophytes, glacial cooling does not depress their numbers. Rather, lower ocean temperatures result in a greater abundance of shellfish.

Image above: Kirstenbosch Botanic Gardens in the Cape Flora highlands of South Africa. From (http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-4274271451).

Survival Skills
With its combination of calorically dense, nutrient-rich protein from the shellfish and low-fiber, energy-laden carbs from the geophytes, the southern coast would have provided an ideal diet for early modern humans during glacial stage 6.

Furthermore, women could obtain both these resources on their own, freeing them from relying on men to provision them and their children with high-quality food. We have yet to unearth proof that the occupants of PP13B were eating geophytes—sites this old rarely preserve organic remains—although younger sites in the area contain extensive evidence of geophyte consumption. But we have found clear evidence that they were dining on shellfish. Studies of the shells found at the site conducted by Antonieta Jerardino of the University of Barcelona show that people were gathering brown mussels and local sea snails called alikreukel from the seashore. They also ate marine mammals such as seals and whales on occasion.

Previously the oldest known examples of humans systematically using marine resources dated to less than 120,000 years ago. But dating analyses performed by Miryam Bar-Matthews of the Geological Survey of Israel and Zenobia Jacobs of University of Wollongong in Australia have revealed that the PP13B people lived off the sea far earlier than that: as we reported in 2007 in the journal Nature, marine foraging there dates back to a stunning 164,000 years ago. By 110,000 years ago the menu had expanded to include species such as limpets and sand mussels.

This kind of foraging is harder than it might seem. The mussels, limpets and sea snails live on the rocks in the treacherous intertidal zone, where an incoming swell could easily knock over a hapless collector. Along the southern coast, safe harvesting with sufficiently high returns is only possible during low spring tides, when the sun and moon align, exerting their maximum gravitational force on the ebb and flow of the water. Because the tides are linked to the phases of the moon, advancing by 50 minutes a day, I surmise that the people who lived at PP13B—which 164,000 years ago was located much farther inland, two to five kilometers from the water, because of lower sea levels—scheduled their trips to the shore using a lunar calendar of sorts, just as modern coastal people have done for ages.

Harvesting shellfish is not the only advanced behavior in evidence at Pinnacle Point as early as 164,000 years ago. Among the stone tools are significant numbers of “bladelets”—tiny flakes twice as long as they are wide—that are too small to wield by hand. Instead they must have been attached to shafts of wood and used as projectile weapons. Composite toolmaking is indicative of considerable technological know-how, and the blade­lets at PP13B are among the oldest examples of it. But we soon learned that these tiny implements were even more complex than we thought.

Most of the stone tools found at coastal South African archaeological sites are made from a type of stone called quartzite. This coarse-grained rock is great for making large flakes, but it is difficult to shape into small, refined tools. To manufacture the bladelets, people used fine-grained rock called silcrete. There was something odd about the archaeological silcrete, though, as observed by Kyle S. Brown of the Institute of Human Origins at Arizona State University, an expert stone tool flaker on my team.

After years of collecting silcrete from all over the coast, Brown determined that in its raw form the rock never has the lustrous red and gray coloring seen in the silcrete implements at Pinnacle Point and elsewhere. Furthermore, the raw silcrete is virtually impossible to shape into bladelets. Where, we wondered, did the toolmakers find their superior silcrete?

A possible answer to this question came from Pinnacle Point Cave 5-6, where one day in 2008 we found a large piece of silcrete embedded in ash. It had the same color and luster seen in the silcrete found at other archaeological deposits in the region. Given the association of the stone with the ash, we asked ourselves whether the ancient toolmakers might have exposed the silcrete to fire to make it easier to work with—a strategy that has been documented in ethnographic accounts of native North Americans and Australians. To find out, Brown carefully “cooked” some raw silcrete and then attempted to knap it. It flaked wonderfully, and the flaked surfaces shone with the same luster seen in the artifacts from our sites.

We thus concluded that the Stone Age silcrete was also heat-treated.
We faced an uphill battle to convince our colleagues of this remarkable claim, however. It was archaeology gospel that the Solutrean people in France invented heat treatment about 20,000 years ago, using it to make their beautiful tools. To bolster our case, we used three independent techniques. Chantal Tribolo of the University of Bordeaux performed what is called thermoluminescence analysis to determine whether the silcrete tools from Pinnacle Point were intentionally heated.

Then Andy Herries of the University of New South Wales in Australia employed magnetic susceptibility, which looks for changes in the ability of rock to be magnetized—another indicator of heat exposure among iron-rich rocks. Finally, Brown used a gloss meter to measure the luster that develops after heating and flaking and compare it with the luster on the tools he made. Our results, detailed last year in the journal Science, showed that intentional heat treatment was a dominant technology at Pinnacle Point by 72,000 years ago and that people there employed it intermittently as far back as 164,000 years ago.

The process of treating by heat testifies to two uniquely modern human cognitive abilities. First, people recognized that they could substantially alter a raw material to make it useful—in this case, engineering the properties of stone by heating it, thereby turning a poor-quality rock into high-quality raw material. Second, they could invent and execute a long chain of processes. The making of silcrete blades requires a complex series of carefully designed steps: building a sand pit to insulate the silcrete, bringing the heat slowly up to 350 degrees Celsius, holding the temperature steady and then dropping it down slowly.

Creating and carrying out the sequence and passing technologies down from generation to generation probably required language. Once established, these abilities no doubt helped our ancestors outcompete the archaic human species they encountered once they dispersed from Africa. In particular, the complex pyrotechnology detected at Pinnacle Point would have given early modern humans a distinct advantage as they entered the cold lands of the Neandertals, who seem to have lacked this technique.

 
Image above: Pinnacle Point Cave (PP13B) as it appears today. From (http://scopeweb.mit.edu/?p=151#more-151).

 
Smart from the Start
In addition to being technologically savvy, the prehistoric denizens of Pinnacle Point had an artistic side. In the oldest layers of the PP13B sequence, my team has unearthed dozens of pieces of red ochre (iron oxide) that were variously carved and ground to create a fine powder that was probably mixed with a binder such as animal fat to make paint that could be applied to the body or other surfaces. Such decorations typically encode information about social identity or other important aspects of culture—that is, they are symbolic. Many of my colleagues and I think that this ochre constitutes the earliest unequivocal example of symbolic behavior on record and pushes the origin of such practices back by tens of thousands of years.

Evidence of symbolic activities also appears later in the sequence. Deposits dating to around 110,00 years ago include both red ochre and seashells that were clearly collected for their aesthetic appeal, because by the time they washed ashore from their deepwater home, any flesh would have been long gone. I think these decorative seashells, along with the evidence for marine foraging, signal that people had, for the first time, begun to embed in their worldview and rituals a clear commitment to the sea.
 
The precocious expressions of both symbolism and sophisticated technology at Pinnacle Point have major implications for understanding the origin of our species. Fossils from Ethiopia show that anatomically modern humans had evolved by at least 195,000 years ago. The emergence of the modern mind, however, is more difficult to establish.

Paleoanthropologists use various proxies in the archaeological record to try to identify the presence and scope of cognitive modernity. Artifacts made using technologies that require outside-the-box connections of seemingly unrelated phenomena and long chains of production—like heat treatment of rock for tool manufacture—are one proxy. Evidence of art or other symbolic activities is another, as is the tracking of time through proxies such as lunar phases. For years the earliest examples of these behaviors were all found in Europe and dated to after 40,000 years ago. Based on that record, researchers concluded that there was a long lag between the origin of our species and the emergence of our peerless creativity.
 
But over the past 10 years archaeologists working at a number of sites in South Africa have found examples of sophisticated behaviors that predate by a long shot their counterparts in Europe. For instance, archaeologist Ian Watts, who works in South Africa, has described hundreds to thousands of pieces of worked and unworked ochre at sites dating as far back as 120,000 years ago.

 Interestingly, this ochre, as well as the pieces at Pinnacle Point, tends to be red despite the fact that local sources of the mineral exhibit a range of hues, suggesting that humans were preferentially curating the red pieces—perhaps associating the color with menstruation and fertility.

Jocelyn A. Bernatchez, a Ph.D. student at Arizona State, thinks that many of these ochre pieces may have been yellow originally and then heat-treated to turn them red. And at Blombos Cave, located about 100 kilometers west of Pinnacle Point, Christopher S. Henshilwood of the University of Bergen in Norway has discovered pieces of ochre with systematic engravings, beads made of snail shells and refined bone tools, all of which date to around 71,000 years ago [see “The Morning of the Modern Mind,” by Kate Wong; Scientific American, June 2005].

These sites, along with those at Pinnacle Point, belie the claim that modern cognition evolved late in our lineage and suggest instead that our species had this faculty at its inception.

I suspect that a driving force in the evolution of this complex cognition was strong long-term selection acting to enhance our ancestors’ ability to mentally map the location and seasonal variation of many species of plants in arid environments and to convey this accumulated knowledge to offspring and other group members.

This capacity laid the foundation for many other advances, such as the ability to grasp the link between the phases of the moon and the tides and to learn to schedule their shellfish-hunting trips to the shore accordingly. Together the readily available shellfish and geophytes provided a high-quality diet that allowed people to become less nomadic, increased their birth rates and reduced their child mortality.

The larger group sizes that resulted from these changes would have promoted symbolic behavior and technological complexity as people endeavored to express their social identity and build on one another’s technologies, explaining why we see such sophisticated practices at PP13B.

Follow the Sea
PP13B preserves a long record of changing occupations that, in combination with the detailed records of local climate and environmental change my team has obtained, is revealing how our ancestors used the cave and the coast over millennia. Modeling the paleocoastline over time, Erich C. Fisher of the University of Florida has shown that the conditions changed quickly and dramatically, thanks to a long, wide, gently sloping continental shelf off the coast of South Africa called the Agulhas bank. During glacial periods, when sea levels fell, significant amounts of this shelf would have been exposed, putting considerable distance—up to 95 kilometers—between Pinnacle Point and the ocean. When the climate warmed and sea levels rose, the water advanced over the Agulhas bank again, and the caves were seaside once more.

Judging from rainfall and vegetation patterns evident in records from stalagmites spanning the time between 350,000 and 50,000 years ago, we see that the fynbos probably followed the retreating coast out onto the now submerged continental shelf and back again, keeping the geophytes and shellfish in close proximity. As for the people, during these periods of low population density they were free to target the best part of the landscape, and that was the intersection of the geophytes and shellfish—so I suspect they followed the sea. The tracking of resources would explain why PP13B appears to have been occupied intermittently.

Our excavations at PP13B have intercepted the people who may very well be the ancestors of everyone on the planet as they shadowed the shifting shoreline. Yet if I am correct about these people and their connection to the coast, the richest record of the progenitor population lies underwater on the Agulhas bank. There it will remain for the near future, guarded by great white sharks and dangerous currents. We can still test the hypothesis that humans followed the sea by examining sites on the current coast such as PP13B and another site we are excavating called PP5-6. But we can also study locations where the continental shelf drops steeply and the coast was always near—investigations that my colleagues and I are currently initiating.

The genetic, fossil and archaeological records are reasonably concordant in suggesting that the first substantial and prolonged wave of modern human migration out of Africa occurred around 50,000 years ago. But questions about the events leading up to that exodus remain. We still do not know, for example, whether at the end of glacial stage 6 there was just one population of H. sapiens left in Africa or whether there were several, with just one ultimately giving rise to everyone alive today.

Such unknowns are providing my team and others with a very clear and exciting research direction for the foreseeable future: our fieldwork needs to target the other potential progenitor zones in Africa during that glacial period and expand our knowledge of the climate conditions just before that stage. We need to flesh out the story of these people who eventually pushed out of their refuge, filled up the African continent and went on to conquer the world.

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Food Costs Threaten World

SUBHEAD: Food costs seen reaching record as global inflation accelerates. By Tony C. Dreibus on 26 April 2011 for Bloomberg News - (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-26/food-costs-seen-reaching-record-by-year-end-as-world-inflation-accelerates.html) Image above: Cartoon by Ramirez focusing on food shortages. From (http://theboldcorsicanflame.wordpress.com/2011/02/06/world-food-prices-hit-record-high-by-bryony-jones-cnn). Global food prices may rise 4.4 percent to a record by the end of the year, driven by demand for meat, oilseeds and grains used to make ethanol, adding to costs that mean inflation is accelerating from the U.S. to China. The United Nations’ Food Price Index may climb to 240 points from 229.84 last month, said William Adams, a fund manager at Zurich-based Resilience AG, which has $22.2 million of assets. Global corn stockpiles are shrinking the most in seven years, inventories of nine edible oils will drop to the lowest since 1974 and U.S. beef stocks will be the smallest since 1999, the U.S. Department of Agriculture estimates. “The stockpiles are being severely depleted,” said Adams, who correctly forecast gains in heating oil and gasoline prices last year. “Eventually it gets to the consumer. The U.S. government isn’t subsidizing pork chops like it is ethanol.” The cost of living in the U.S. rose at its fastest pace since December 2009 in the 12 months ended in March. Chinese consumer prices rose last month by the most since 2008. The People’s Bank of China raised borrowing costs four times since October and the European Central Bank increased rates on April 7 for the first time since 2008. World Bank President Robert Zoellick said April 16 that the world is “one shock away” from a crisis in food supply and prices. Price Report The UN’s food-price index, which covers 55 commodities, reached an all-time high of 236.8 points in February, before dropping by about 3 percent in March. The next report is scheduled for May 5. Costlier food contributed to riots across northern Africa and the Middle East that toppled leaders in Egypt and Tunisia. It also drove 44 million people into poverty in the past year and another 10 million may join them should the UN index rise another 10 percent, the World Bank said April 16. Consumers should get used to paying more because farmers will take years to expand production enough to meet demand, the International Monetary Fund said in a first-quarter report. Wheat traded on the Chicago Board of Trade, a global benchmark, jumped 75 percent in the past 12 months, soybeans gained 38 percent and corn more than doubled. U.S. wholesale beef prices are up 13 percent this year and pork costs 22 percent more, USDA data show. While the gains increase costs for consumers they also mean U.S. farmers, the world’s biggest agricultural exporters, will earn a record $94.7 billion this year, the USDA estimates. North Dakota, the largest wheat-growing state, has a jobless rate of 3.6 percent, the lowest of any state. ‘Their Moment’ “There are not a lot of opportunities like this for farmers,” Adams said. “Raw materials are actually at a premium, so this is their moment.” U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Janet Yellen said April 11 that higher food and fuel costs will have only a temporary impact on inflation and the gains do not warrant a reversal of record monetary stimulus. The use of some crops is also gaining because of demand for alternative fuels after oil traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 33 percent in the past year. Denatured ethanol, which contains additives to make it unfit for human consumption, rose 65 percent on the CBOT over the same period. Demand for U.S. corn from ethanol producers including Archer Daniels Midlands Co. will rise 9.5 percent to 5 billion bushels this year, equal to 40 percent of the national crop, USDA data show. U.S. lawmakers introduced legislation last month to scrap a 45-cent-a-gallon tax credit for producers. ‘Minor’ Factor “Biofuels, including ethanol, are a factor, but a relatively minor one” in food costs, Michael Baroni, vice president of economic policy at Decatur, Illinois-based ADM, said in an e-mail. U.S. ethanol makers use 3 percent of global grain supply and produce 38 million metric tons of distillers grain and gluten used in animal feed, according to the Washington-based Renewable Fuels Association, which represents the industry. U.S. corn stockpiles will fall to 675 million bushels by Aug. 31, from 1.7 billion bushels, the USDA estimates. “Ethanol producers may be confronted with a squeeze on corn supplies during the late summer months,” F.O. Licht, a commodity researcher based in Ratzeburg, Germany, said in a report this month. .

Greeks Need a Haircut

SUBHEAD: Economic haircut for Greek bondholders is already overdue. Delay will only make it worse. By Matthew Lynn on 26 April 2011 for Bloomberg News - (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-25/greece-haircut-for-bondholders-already-overdue-commentary-by-matthew-lynn.html) Image above: Barber shop in Havana, Cuba. From (http://governmentdirt.com/recent-photos-taken-trip-cuba). No cakes, party games or music. As Greece last weekend marked the passing of the first year since it was forced to seek a bailout from its fellow euro members, the mood could hardly have been more somber. Bond yields soared to fresh highs. The cost of insuring against a Greek default rose to a record. The finance ministry started a criminal investigation into bank employees spreading rumors of an imminent restructuring. In fact, Greece should have celebrated the anniversary of the rescue package in a different way -- by announcing it was repudiating some of its debts. The sooner Greece imposes a haircut, to use the financial market’s term for losses incurred in a default, the better it will be for everyone. Delay leads to bigger haircuts, and economic research suggests the bigger the haircut, the worse the pain that follows. The damage being inflicted on the Greek economy is too great. And once defaults within the euro area are accepted, a sensible conversation about how to fix the single currency can begin. Over the last week, the prices in the market make it clear that most traders have already concluded that a Greek default is a done deal. The yield on two-year Greek debt rose higher than 22 percent at the end of last week. Only the most sharkish credit company charges those kinds of rates. Ten-year bond yields are now close to 15 percent. The cost of insuring Greek sovereign debt jumped to a record, with the prices of credit- default swaps now suggesting there is a 67 percent chance of default. No Point In reality, there isn’t much point in buying the protection. It’s like insuring yourself against the possibility it might rain in London in the next year. It’s going to happen; it’s just a question of when. Officials in Athens and Brussels are still insisting that default isn’t an option. They should quit pretending. Here’s why. The markets portray defaults as catastrophic, mainly because the bankers and fund managers who provide most of the commentary stand to lose a lot of money. In fact, countries fail to pay back their debts all the time. What does make a difference, however, is the size of the haircut. Future Punishment A paper presented at the Royal Economic Society conference in London this month by Juan Cruces and Christoph Trebesch studied all the debt restructurings between countries and foreign banks and bondholders since 1970 -- a total of 202 cases in 68 nations. It found that “restructurings involving higher haircuts (lower recovery rates) are associated with significantly higher subsequent spreads (borrowing cost) and longer periods of capital market exclusion.” In other words, the worse the losses inflicted on the bondholders, the more the markets will punish you later on, and the longer it will be before you can access the capital markets again. Greece’s debt position is worsening. Delay isn’t an option. It would be better to impose a 40 percent or 50 percent loss on bondholders this year than a 70 percent or 80 percent loss in 2013. Next, the damage being inflicted on the Greek economy right now is catastrophic. Unemployment is set to rise above 15 percent this year. The central bank estimates the economy will shrink by another 3 percent in 2011, even though the rest of the global economy is experiencing a sustained if modest recovery. Spending Cuts The government is still reducing spending -- another 22 billion euros ($32 billion) of cuts were announced this month -- which will only depress the economy further. There is very little sign yet that exports can make up for the fall in domestic demand. You can’t just cut your way out of this crisis. At some point, the Greek economy needs to start growing again. So far, no one has explained how that is going to happen. Lastly, once Greece has defaulted, a serious conversation can begin about how to reassemble the euro area. Plan A was to rescue Greece, arrange a bailout, get the country back on track and stop the contagion. It’s as clear as day that it hasn’t worked. Greece isn’t showing signs of recovery, and both Ireland and Portugal have had to apply for bailouts as well. If that doesn’t persuade people to switch to Plan B, it’s hard to know what will. Greece should bow to the inevitable, announce a 50 percent haircut on its debt and impose a three-year suspension of interest payments on what remains outstanding. Bondholders could be offered further payments, linked to economic growth, so that as Greece recovers, they get a bit more of their money back. With the money saved on debt repayment, Greece could start restructuring its economy, putting demand back into the system, and focusing on creating the competitive export industries that are the only thing that will enable it to survive within the euro. The rest of Europe could stop fighting a losing battle to rescue Greece from default, and start concentrating instead on how to make the euro area work better. There is no point in drawing out the agony any longer --and certainly not until the second birthday of the bailout package. It should be done by the end of May, and then everyone can move on. .

Local Food Freedom

SUBHEAD: Laws enacted in Maine for freedom from state and federal food regulations in rural communities. By Sara Novak on 24 April 2011 for TreeHugger - (http://www.treehugger.com/files/2011/04/local-food-freedom-laws-enacted-in-maine.php) Image above: Farmer's Market in Deering Oaks, Maine. From (http://www.portlanddailyphoto.com/2010/10/market-of-farmers.html).

Blue Hill, Maine will be one of several towns in Maine to recently enact food freedom laws declaring that the federal government doesn't have the right to intervene in local food matters, according to a story on Natural News. The bill allows this rural community of around 2,500 people to decide what foods that they buy and sell locally as well as exempting all direct sales of local food products from complying with state and federal inspection requirements.

The unanimous vote comes on the heels of similar votes in neighboring towns of Sedgwick and Penobscot. Activist Post, reported that the The Local Food and Self-Governance Ordinance has drawn national attention from around the U.S., Canada, and as far away as New Zealand. Local producers want similar legislation in their neck of the woods.

According to Food Freedom:

Dan Brown, farmer from Blue Hill, noted during the discussion on the Ordinance that this comes down to whether or not small-scale food producers can earn a livelihood. "They come to me, close my doors, and I'm back to driving truck."

Losing even more farms and food producers, says Brown, means local people have less access to local food. "Shut me down, then people don't get their tomatoes, their milk."


First to Declare Food Sovereignty By Ethan A. Huff on 11 March 2011 for Natural News - (http://www.naturalnews.com/031667_food_freedom_Maine.html) The town of Sedgwick, Maine, currently leads the pack as far as food sovereignty is concerned. Local residents recently voted unanimously at a town hall meeting to pass an ordinance that reinforces its citizens’ God-given rights to “produce, process, sell, purchase, and consume local foods of their choosing,” which includes even state- and federally-restricted foods like raw milk.

The declaration is one of the first of its kind to be passed in the US, and it is definitely not the last. Several other Maine towns — including Penobscott, Brooksville, and Blue Hill — all have similar ordinances up for vote in the coming weeks.

“Tears of joy welled in my eyes as my town voted to adopt this ordinance,” said Mia Strong, a Sedgwick resident who frequents local farms. “I am so proud of my community. They made a stand for local food and our fundamental rights as citizens to choose that food.”

In addition to simply declaring food sovereignty, the ordinance also declares it a crime for state and federal authorities to violate ordinance provisions in any way. The law specifically states that “[i]t shall be unlawful for any law or regulation adopted by the state or federal government to interfere with the rights recognized by this Ordinance.” This includes, of course, any attempt to enforce the unconstitutional provisions of the S 510 the HR 2751 food tyranny bills that were recently passed (http://www.naturalnews.com/030789_F…).

And what about potential conflicts that may arise between farmer and patron? The two will agree to enter into private agreements with one another, apart from government interference, and settle any disputes that arise personally and civilly. It is the way things used to be done before Americans sacrificed their freedoms to the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and other federal agencies that now tell the public what they can and cannot eat.

In December, the state of Vermont drafted its own food sovereignty bill (http://www.naturalnews.com/030827_f…), and several others are considering similar bills as well.

To learn more about how to promote food sovereignty in your town, city, county, or state, visit the Tenth Amendment Center at: http://www.naturalnews.com/030827_f…

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Decline of Japanese Fishing

SUBHEAD: The recent tsunami has accelerated the terminal decline of the fishing industry in Japan.
  
By Stuart Biggs on 25 April 2011 for Bloomberg News -  
(http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-24/tsunami-speeds-terminal-decline-of-japan-s-fishing-industry.html)

 
Image above: Japanese fishing boats tossed amid the wreckage of the recent tsunami. From (http://newshopper.sulekha.com/japan-earthquake_photo_1758268.htm).

The wreckage of a 379-metric ton tuna boat blocks the road to the deserted fish market in Kesennuma, once Japan’s largest port for bonito and swordfish. Even after the debris from last month’s tsunami has been cleared away, the industry may never recover. “Thirty years ago we used to think Japan was the number one fishing country in the world, with the best catching and processing methods, but that’s really no longer the case,” Ryosuke Sato, chairman of the Kesennuma Fisheries Cooperative Association, said in an interview in the town, 400 kilometers (250 miles) north of Tokyo.

“We’ve been in terminal decline.” Traffic at the port had dropped by 90 percent over the last 20 years as seafood imports rose, even before the country’s northeastern coast was devastated on March 11. Destruction of boats, harbors and processing plants, coupled with fears of radioactive contamination in marine life, threatens to hasten Japan’s turn to overseas for its most important food staple after rice.

Japanese eat more fish per capita than any other developed country, consuming 56.7 kilograms (128 pounds) annually, compared with a global average of 17.1 kilograms, according to the United Nation’s Food and Agriculture Organization. Fish accounts for 23 percent of protein in the daily Japanese diet, compared with four percent in the U.S.  

Fish Broth
Consumption begins with breakfast in Japan, an archipelago of nearly 7,000 islands, where a traditional morning meal consists of rice and grilled fish. In addition to sushi, staples including miso soup also contain fish broth. To feed the habit, Japan is the world’s largest importer of fish, buying $14.4 billion worth in 2008, according to data from the United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization.

“We’re the biggest fish lovers among the major industrial nations and the number one consumer,” said Masayuki Komatsu, a professor at Tokyo’s National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies specializing in ocean and marine resources.

“It’s like water and air to us.” Auctions at Tokyo’s Tsukiji, the world’s largest fish market that stretches over an area the size of 43 football fields, influences prices all over the world, according to Sasha Issenberg, author of ‘The Sushi Economy.’ “It’s like a combination of Wall Street and Sotheby’s in the art market and a commodities trading floor,” he said.  

Five Years
Last month’s earthquake and tsunami, which left almost 28,000 dead or missing, disproportionately affected Japan’s northeastern fishing ports and towns. In Iwate prefecture, the tsunami caused about 106.6 billion yen ($1.3 billion) of damage to the fishing industry, according to data from the government. That’s about ten times the combined total for the prefecture’s agriculture and forestry industries.

 Fishermen in Kesennuma, which has a population of 73,000, expect it to take as long as five years to rebuild the port and market, central to a fishing industry that provides 85 percent of the town’s jobs. The city government says 837 townspeople died and 1,196 were listed as missing as of April 22. A further 5,838 people, or 7.8 percent of the population, are in evacuation centers. In addition to the destruction of maintenance and refueling facilities, about 40 fishing vessels were lost, the cooperative’s Sato said.  

‘Not Alone’
 “There’s so much damage, this is a crisis for the town and the fishing industry,” said the 69-year old Sato, whose Kanedai Co. fish company has sales of 9.4 billion yen in Japan and China, with 230 employees. A poster on the wall signed by wholesalers and customers reads: “You’re not alone, everyone is with you. Thank you always for the delicious fish.”

 South Kesennuma, where most of the fish processing plants were located, was the first area to be hit by the tsunami after it passed the island of Oshima that creates the entrance to Kesennuma’s harbor about two kilometers off shore. In the harbor, trawlers and a refueling tank were slammed together, spewing fuel.

Fire spread across the fuel-water mix, creating an inferno. The 50-meter-long Myojin Maru No.3, licensed to catch yellowfin and albacore tuna in the Indian Ocean, is one of at least 10 giant vessels dumped around the town. It towers over gutted two-storey buildings owned by fishing companies about 500 meters from the fish market.

“Companies may have the money to rebuild but people are saying they don’t want to come back,” Yaeko Komatsu, 53, said as she gazed at the rubble of her seafood company employer she didn’t identify. “They say it’s dangerous.”

 Planned Reopening
The fish market is planning to partially re-open in June to provide a sales floor for the expected arrival of bonito boats. Longer-term plans depend on the amount of central government assistance, the cooperative’s Sato said. Reconstruction needs to happen fast to prevent workers from leaving the town for good, Itsunori Onodera, a Diet Member representing Kesennuma, said in an interview at the city hall. Like many ports in Japan, Kesennuma developed a reputation for handling specific kinds of fish. Ships from all over Japan came to the town to sell saury, sharks and tuna.

By adding maintenance and refueling facilities, Kesennuma became one of Japan’s 10 largest fishing ports, Sato said. The importance of fishing and towns like Kesennuma in Japanese culture belies the fishing industry’s declining status in the economy. Fishing contributes about 0.2 percent of Japan’s GDP, and the number of fishermen has dropped to about 200,000 from about a million after World War II, according to the National Graduate Institute’s Komatsu, also a former official at Japan’s Fisheries Agency.

 Indonesian Workers
 For fishermen like Tokio Takatsuka, who returned to Shiogama Port, 315 kilometers north of Tokyo and 80 kilometers south of Kesennuma, earlier this month to sell yellowfin tuna from the Pacific, that means hiring more crew members from the Philippines and Indonesia to make up for the shortage of Japanese applicants. They come as part of a government plan to ease labor shortages, and signs at the port are now written in Bahasa as well as Japanese.

“My generation never considered doing anything besides fishing,” Takatsuka, 62, said in an interview last week next to his boat. “It’s different for young people now.” Even as the government hurries to rebuild facilities, fishermen and consumers are worried about radiation from Tokyo Electric Co.’s Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear power plant, Akira Sato, mayor of Shiogama, said in an interview after the town’s first fresh tuna auction since the March 11 earthquake.

The fisherman Takatsuka sailed more than 60 kilometers wide of the plant on the way to the port, rather than hugging the coast, in order to reassure buyers. About 520,000 liters of water with a level of radioactivity that was 20,000 times the legal limit leaked into the ocean between April 1 and 6, Junichi Matsumoto , a Tepco general manager, said last week.

 ‘People Are Spooked’
 “It puts a cloud over the entire fishing industry and Japan’s food culture is suffering as a result,” Jeff Kingston, director of the Department of Asian Studies at Temple University’s Japan campus said. “People are spooked.” The level of radioactivity in water leaked from the No. 2 reactor of the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant was 20,000 times the regulatory limit, Tepco said on April 21. A total of 520 tons of contaminated water leaked between April 1 and April 6, said Junichi Matsumoto, a general manager at the utility.

At Tokyo’s Tsukiji fish market, sales of fresh fish fell to an average 583 metric tons per day in the week ended March 17, down 28 percent from a year earlier. The following week they dropped by 44 percent. “If this continues for two or three years we don’t know what will happen to our bodies from consuming contaminated fish,” Yasuo Kawada, a 59-year-old manufacturing employee said in an interview. “I do worry.”

 Fish Bans
Radiation from fish and lobsters near the U.K.’s biggest nuclear polluter suggest radioactive material dumped into the sea from Tepco’s Fukushima power plant isn’t a long-term health threat, according to Richard Wakeford, a professor of epidemiology at the University of Manchester’s Dalton Nuclear Institute.

The Sellafield nuclear-processing plant in northwest England has discharged at least 320,000 times more radioactive material into the Irish Sea since 1952 than what Tepco released from Fukushima this month, according to Bloomberg calculations based on data from both sites. Still, average radiation doses by seafood-consumers near Sellafield over 15 years have been half the recommended limit, studies show. That hasn’t stopped China, Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong from banning fish imports from parts of Japan.

The countries accounted for about 70 percent of Japan’s fish exports in 2009, according to Japan External Trade Organization figures. “Radiation is a grim reaper, you can’t see it and you can’t smell it,” said Ken Banwell who has worked as a fish importer in Tokyo for 22 years. “I would say it would have a profound effect on sales from those areas.”

Still, overall sales at Tsukiji recovered to pre-quake levels last week, indicating Japanese consumers are returning to fish. Prime Minister Naoto Kan proposed a 4-trillion yen ($49 billion) extra budget that is likely to be the first of several packages to rebuild areas devastated by last month’s record earthquake and tsunami, which will include assistance for the industry, the government said in an April 22 statement. “It’ll take three years, at most five years to rebuild the fish market,” said Sato, in his ninth year as head of the Kesennuma Fisheries Association. “In the meantime we need to know how we can continue to live here today, tomorrow, without jobs at plants which don’t exist anymore.”

 .

The Banana Peel of Destiny

SUBHEAD: America can have the role of the pinhead, grinning vacantly while the other freaks burn the joint down. By James Kunstler on 25 April 2011 for Kunstler.com - (http://kunstler.com/blog/2011/04/the-banana-peel-of-destiny.html) Image above: Banana and victim on he sidewalk. From (http://listsoplenty.com/blog/?attachment_id=11973). That was a cute move by President Obama last week, calling out the "oil speculators" with a memo to his Attorney General, Eric Holder. The President proved a few weeks ago, in his energy speech to the nation, that he doesn't understand how these resources are produced and traded. Consequently, the people he addressed remain clueless, but ticked off nonetheless. And the logic of politics now compels Mr. Obama to call out the dogs on... people who make money trading paper claims on oil?
Funny, he didn't show any interest the past two-plus years in people who make money swindling taxpayers via booby-trapped Collateralized Debt Obligations and Credit Default Swaps. Maybe those things sound too abstruse to get excited about - but believe me, it was a heckuva lot more money. In fact, a case could be mounted by God's attorney general - if he has one - that Mr. Obama abetted a gigantic conspiracy in fraudulent financial paper which makes the oil speculators look like shoplifters in a Kentucky WalMart.
For those of you interested in the reality side of things, here's the scoop: The price of oil is going to go way up, and way down, and way up again, and way down again until everyone is too broke to ask for any, and companies are too ruined to go get it for them, and governments are too broken to interfere in the process.
The oil speculators are normal characters in a stressed market doing what needs to be done on the margins of "price discovery." The trouble arises when price discovery occurs in turbulent times and places, for instance, when people in a part of the world called the Middle East & North Africa (MENA, for short), start rioting against their governments, which has been the case persistently for a couple of months now - a region that contains about half the world's oil reserves. So interested observers conclude there's a fair chance that oil production there might face impediments to normal operations.
And indeed that is already the case in Libya, where some of the world's lightest, creamiest, sweetest crude oil has stopped flowing into pipelines and tanker ships. With protesters being slaughtered by the score in Syria, and Yemen's president about to get a one-way ticket to Palookaville, and the Saud family cowering in their solid-gold senior housing facility, and affairs looking sketchy at best in other nations around that neighborhood, speculators at the margins have called for higher oil prices.
You will recall, perhaps, that hoary old concept, the "bumpy plateau" of the peak oil story. This was the idea that the actual tippy-top "peak" of peak oil, studied at close scale, would actually take the form of a raggedy line representing the interplay between supply, demand, and most importantly the frantic psychological response of humans operating in markets. It was clear that economies would stagger under the burden of high oil prices, and economic activity would contract, and people would use less oil and the price would go down. When prices were real low again, people would resume buying more oil (and other stuff) and economic activity would mount and oil prices would go up again. We knew this would happen for a couple-few cycles, and that then things would get... more interesting.
We also knew that this would occur with some "ratcheting side effects" - that with each cycle of up-and-down oil prices, against the background of permanent a decline in easy-to-get oil, there would be less money available to find, drill for, and produce future harder-to-get oil. What we did not know - at least in the morbid clerisies where academic economists spawn - was that the permanent decline in easy-to-get oil would introduce gross disorder into our money systems, nor that we would incessantly lie to ourselves about the health of our money systems, until their operations were so fatally compromised and impaired that their failure was likely to put us out-of-business even before worse imbalances came to pass in real oil supply and demand.
Of course, we also didn't know that MENA would explode in political unrest in early 2011, or that the earth below the Japan Trench would shudder badly, and no doubt there are other things we can't predict that will affect the global economic dynamic. But you do what you can with what you've got to work with, and here in the USA collective intelligence space, we're not doing such a great job.
Tensions keep rising around the distortions and perversions now loose in the money system. You can get a headache thinking about inflation and deflation - but either way you stand to end up broke. Either you'll be rolling in worthless money or you won't have any money. The banana peel of destiny can send you flying in either direction, or first one and then the other.
We've done a poor job of managing contraction, which is the fate of societies that have piled up too much complexity. All of our schemes for grappling with this seem to boil down to one foolish obsession: how can we keep all the cars running? We're not going to, of course, but we refuse to even think about anything else. President Obama is merely reflecting the foolish obsession of the public.
Whenever I give a talk at a meeting or a college, somebody gets up and censoriously asks we why I can't present "solutions" to the problems of contraction we face. I do of course. The audience just doesn't hear them because I don't believe it is possible to keep all the cars running and I don't pretend that any of the schemes currently circulating will avail. To go a step further, I'm convinced that we are committing cultural suicide by using all the cars the way we do, so I am not the one to look to for rescue remedies in this department. In fact, I am serenely persuaded that we would vastly improve our chances of remaining civilized if we gave up on mass motoring and deployed ourselves on the landscape differently.
By the way, that will be the eventual outcome anyway, whether we like it or not.
In the meantime, prepare for thrills and chills in the alternate universe of money. The phase of that story we're approaching looks more and more like the final scenes of the old Todd Browning horror movie about the uprising in a freak show. America can have the role of the pinhead, grinning vacantly while the other freaks burn the joint down. .

Parks & Recreation Master Plan

SUBHEAD: Give your input on the future of Kauai County Parks! Fill in the Questionnaire. By Linda Pascatore on 24 April 2011 for Island Breath - (http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2011/04/parks-recreation-master-plan.html) Image above: Looking northeast from Puolo Point. Eleele in distant right. Photo by Juan Wilson. Kauai County is gathering public input for a new Master Plan for our County's parks and recreation system. Please fill out the on-line questionnaire to give your priorities. There is space at the bottom of the form for personalized comments. Here is the link for the Park User Survey: http://www.kauaigovonline.org/surveys/ParkUserSurvey.aspx My personal priorities are for more walking and bike paths, more natural recreation, and less development of sports facilities. I also used the last question, number 16, to propose my personal hope for the county to acquire the land at Puolo Point near Salt Pond Beach Park for a nature preserve: Several years ago, the state offered Kauai County the DOT land at Puolo Point (next to Salt Pond Beach). Mayor Baptise held a community meeting at Eleele school, and the consensus of the community was to make it a nature preserve, in it's natural state, and protect the salt pans. Mayor Baptise refused (he wanted to develop the park, and possibly put in a drag strip--terrible idea!), and he was not happy with community consensus. Please acquire this rare piece of undeveloped wet land shore, and make it a nature preserve. We see water birds and pueo there regularly. It is one of the few undeveloped pieces, and a local treasure. See also: Island Breath: Leave Puolo Point Alone 5/26/06 .

Where are KIUC co-op benefits?

SUBHEAD: If we are a co-op, why doesn't KIUC listen to it's members? By Pat Gegan on 24 April 2011 in The Garden Island - (http://thegardenisland.com/business/local/article_0ea93334-6e2c-11e0-b84c-001cc4c03286.html) Image above: Rural power plant spewing smoke. From (http://www.fnal.gov/pub/today/archive_2008/today08-05-23.html). Energy bills are rising and falling based on political and economic issues far from Kaua‘i. Is this what was planned when Kaua‘i Electric was purchased to become Kaua‘i Island Utility Cooperative? I think not. We can do much better. None of us want our electric rates to continue making the swings from just barely affordable to painful, especially when we are reliant upon many forces outside of our control. Becoming a co-op was meant to benefit the people of Kaua‘i who use electricity from the grid. Have your electric bills gone down since you became a member? Have you seen a stabilization of rates in the past eight years? Have you seen Kaua‘i become more self-sustaining and keep the money you spend on electricity stay on the island? So I ask: What are the benefits of being a cooperative? KIUC has possibilities and great opportunities waiting to happen. I think it would be difficult to find many on Kaua‘i who feel or know how they have benefited since KE became KIUC. At issue today are renewable and alternative energy sources. Which ones would the members like to see KIUC pursue, and at what cost are they acceptable? Has your voice been heard? KIUC is committed to moving in this direction, according to the Board of Directors, although we have seen only minimal improvements. Is KIUC going after the alternatives you would like to see developed from an economic, environmental and a sustainable perspective? KIUC has chosen, with minimal input from members, to go after the following alternative energy sources: photovoltaic, biomass and hydropower. How is this working? PV is a simple and clean solution that has minimal impact on the environment and provides clean energy using one of Kaua‘i’s most abundant resources. KIUC is positioned to take the lead in the world on how much PV Solar they are putting on the grid. I applaud them for their efforts in this arena. Biomass and hydropower are another story. Both of these have impacts on Kaua‘i’s environment and our quality of life. Biomass is coming, as is evident in Kekaha at the old sugar mill. Residents have expressed concerns regarding property values and the potential for air emissions affecting their health. Image above: Pat Gegen uses an electric meter to graphically demonstrate the energy and cost savings between a compact florescent, Light Emitting Diode and an incandescent lamp during the 2011 Earth Day celebration at Kaua‘i Community College on Wednesday. Photo by Dennis Fujimoto for TGI. Were these issues discussed prior to the siting and approval of the power purchase agreements? Did residents most affected have input into KIUC’s decision? Where was the transparency and open discussion with members of the co-op before this decision was made? Hydropower is a very polarizing issue, as is the manner in which KIUC has chosen to explore these possibilities through the permitting process. KIUC and Free Flow Power have initiated permitting based on old engineering and plans.It got the public in an uproar because those plans, not acceptable years ago, were resurrected. There is also deep concern regarding water rights and what would happen to those rights if a hydro plant is using this water. I believe the issue can be worked out in most cases, but these concerns should be discussed prior to announcements of KIUC’s intention so they can address public and member acceptance of its plans prior to locking into agreements. Does KIUC hear the will of its members? According to the Kaua‘i Energy Sustainability Plan, which was submitted to the county in 2010, many of the people thought KIUC’s board was being too aggressive in its focus on Hydropower. Did the board take this information and learn from it? Did they have meetings with the public to better gauge their concerns? They did not. The KIUC board needs to take a pro-active approach toward getting us into renewable and alternative power. They need to work with members to find out what direction we would like them to go instead of making decisions in the board room and then having to waste our money trying to justify their decisions after the fact. KIUC is a cooperative and as such should be working with its members to develop solutions to our energy needs rather than just telling us what they are going to do. .

PacWest seeking new Biomass Site

SUBHEAD: Community activism effective in pushing back Kekaha Mill site for KIUC power station. By Staff on 24 April 2011 for The Garden Island - (http://thegardenisland.com/business/local/article_ecb485b4-6e4c-11e0-b564-001cc4c03286.html) Image above: The interior of abandoned Kekaha Sugar Mill. Photo by Philip James Filia. From (http://www.redbubble.com/people/pjphoto/art/1084643-throw-away-america-series-kekaha-sugar-mill-2-kauai-hawaii). Pacific West Energy LLC and Pacific West Energy Kaua‘i LLC told Kekaha community leaders Friday that it will not develop a biomass power facility at the Kekaha sugar mill site, residents said Saturday. Citing strong community opposition to the site as a key factor, PacWest President and CEO William Maloney informed the leadership group that the PacWest board of directors formalized its decision this past week by unanimous agreement. Maloney said in a letter Friday that PacWest intends to move forward by quickly identifying an alternate site for the biomass power facility that is agreeable to the community. He noted that he intends to “work in concert” with E Ola Mau and other community organizations. “KIUC has us on a short timeline with specific milestones and an outside ‘commercial operation date,’ with penalties ranging from monetary damages to a termination of the project altogether,” Maloney said. “This makes it imperative that the site re-location process go smoothly and quickly. As a result, PacWest will be taking the community leaders and the community as a whole up on their pledges of support for our project in front of KIUC.” PacWest, Kekaha MS LLC as the owner of the sugar mill, and various contractors including Kaua‘i Industries LLC, Nuprecon, and Integral Consulting were recently the targets of multiple formal complaints describing improper disturbances of toxic materials and unsafe working conditions at the sugar mill site, according to a news release from Kekaha community leader Jose Bulatao Jr. The complaints were filed with the Hazard Evaluation and Emergency Response branch, the Clean Air Branch, and other divisions of the state Department of Health by Kekaha community leaders in late March and early April. The leaders also notified the Environmental Protection Agency of their concerns, the release states. “This is a victorious moment for the Kekaha community,” said Mary Jean Buza-Sims, president of E Ola Mau Na Leo O Kekaha, a community group that first voiced concerns about suspected wide releases of asbestos and other airborne toxins in the site’s surrounding neighborhoods, “We will continue to push for a responsible and accountable clean up of the Kekaha sugar mill and a toxin-free westside.” Maloney said in his letter that the alternative site will not require major industrial operation in a residential area, but which will provide “the economic and community support that a successful agribusiness and renewable energy business offers to the Westside communities.” Community leaders are currently assessing their options in moving forward on their claims, the release states. PacWest’s decision comes in the wake of an April 13 community meeting in Kekaha, facilitated by E Ola Mau, where many Kekaha residents, including members of the local medical community, voiced anger and frustration about the potential of a biomass incinerator being situated in the center of Kekaha, near schools and residences. Kekaha residents and leaders again aired their strong disapproval of biomass as a sustainable energy solution at an April 18 town meeting hosted by KIUC in Waimea, the release states. According to its sustainable energy plan, KIUC has determined that up to 25 percent of the island’s energy needs should be met by burning biomass which would redirect the island’s water and land resources toward growing biomass feedstock, the release states. This contravenes a widely circulated 2009 recommendation of the American Lung Association to the U.S. House Committee on Energy and Commerce that urged lawmakers not to promote the combustion of biomass, the release states. As the letter stated, “Burning biomass could lead to significant increases in emissions of nitrogen oxides, particulate matter and sulfur dioxide and have severe impacts on the health of children, older adults, and people with lung diseases.” .

Kauai getting FERCed

SUBHEAD: Deadline for the KIUC petition has been pushed back again, and a few more signatures need to be collected. By Juan Wilson on 24 April 2011 (updated 5/5) for Island Breath - (http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2011/04/kauai-getting-ferced.html) [Note: Aloha all. Adam Asquith informed me today, May 5th, 2011, that the the legal council to KIUC indicates that the deadline for submission of the petitions to KIUC is calculated in business days, not calendar days, and therefore we have a bit more time than was last announced for getting all the petitions we need... and we are close, depending on verification of signatures. Go sign'em brah!] Image above: Cosnstruction of the TVA's Douglas Dam in Tennessee in 1942. From (http://www.simplelifeprattle.com/history/the-real-history-of-hill-folk-and-the-hillbilly-image/attachment/tva-douglass-dam-1942-by-alfred-t-palmer). This issue is not over. The petition drive collected several hundred signatures. Only 250 were required, but many did not have the critical KIUC account number with the signature. We need many more signatures to clear the hurdle with a safe margin. WHAT: 250 names and addresses with KIUC account numbers on a petition. WHO: Current KIUC members only for this petition. Anyone can collect signatures. ACTION: Download petition. Sign it with your name and account number. Ask others to sign. WHEN: (updated deadline) Deadline Noon, Monday, May 9th 2011 for submission. RESULT: Compel KIUC to re-call the request for FERC application. SUBMISSION: Contact Coordinator or Adam Asquith for submitting hard copy. See below. Download Background Sheet (with this Background Information) (http://www.islandbreath.org/2011Year/04/110405fercinfo.pdf) Download No FERC Petition Sheet (to sigh and distribute) (http://www.islandbreath.org/2011Year/04/110405fercpetition.pdf) Mail petitions to: Adam Asquith 4654 Hauaala Road Kapaa HI 96746 (808) 635-8290 adam_asquith@yahoo.com This from Ken Taylor (taylork021@hawaii.rr.com):
As I understand it, KIUC bylaws only allows us to question what they do by petition. The bylaws requires 250 signatures and their KIUC account number. We have until next Friday. As I see it, all this other chatter is good. But first - WE must STOP…KIUC from moving forward with FERC. Or be happy, to turn our water rights and land use (eminent domain) over to the Fed’s (FERC). I think the question is, do you want to give your water right decision making over to the Fed’s??? It’s made very clear, in Calif. Vs FERC. See "FERC Trumps State (http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2011/04/ferc-trumps-state.html). 150 SIGNATURES NEEDED BEFORE FRIDAY, APRIL 29th.
This from Adam Asquith (adam_asquith@yahoo.com):
My understanding is that the Board's action of March 29 does two things:
  1. It commits us to the FERC process.
  2. We hire FFP as a contractor to go through the process.
Some of this is based only on what KIUC tells us, because we are not allowed to see what we are actually paying FFP to do. Our petition would do two things:
  1. It would bring the Board action of March 29th (FERC and FFP) to a full vote of all KIUC members.
  2. It would allow for a Special KIUC meeting where this action would be discussed before we vote.
It may or may not stop the process, but it will allow us to determine if we want to let the Feds determine our water use. It is very important that you read the Supreme Court ruling that Ken sent out. It is shocking. The State of California actually asked for MORE water to be left in the stream for fish. FERC gave less water and the Supreme Court said FERC gets to put in as little as they want. As shocking is the original case that is cited as First Iowa. In this case the State of Iowa complained to the Supreme Court that a developer was trying to build a hydro system with NO STATE PERMITS. The Supreme Court ruled that they DID NOT NEED ANY. FERC is probably the most far-reaching intrusive government system other than the military. And KIUC just invited them in.
This also from Adam Asquith (adam_asquith@yahoo.com):
There are at least 3 entities on island that have hired law firms and consultants to fight this process. Currently they are all taking the "stop FERC" approach rather than petition as an intervener, which would just validate the FERC process. Probably the strongest tool we have (after our KIUC issue) is arguing that FERC has no jurisdiction on any of these streams. FERC only has jurisdiction on "navigable waters of the U.S." Look up this term. The courts have historically interpreted this very broadly, including Indians paddling canoes and recreational boating. Nonetheless, 15 years ago when the first Wailua FERC application went in, the State of Hawaii successfully argued that the UPPER Wailua is not and never was navigable. They (the State) have a letter from FERC agreeing with them and dropping the early permit. We need to get a copy of this letter from the State (call our reps and State DLNR) and ask them to respond to FERC the same way.
See also: Ea O Ka Aina: FERC Trumps State 4/23/11 Ea O Ka Aina: Lihue & Kilauea-FFP meeting 4/21/11 Ea O Ka Aina: FERC Jurisdiction Over Water 4/20/11 Ea O Ka Aina: KIUC-FFP Waimea Meeting 4/19/11 Ea O Ka Aina: KIUC, Stop FERCing Kauai 4/5/11 Ea O Ka Aina: KIUC sells off Water Rights 4/3/11 Ea O Ka Aina: Kauai Hydro Projects Power Up 1/19/11 Ea O Ka Aina: KIUC Wailua Dam Plans 1/17/11 .

FERC trumps State

SOURCE: Ken Taylor (taylork021@hawaii.rr.com) SUBHEAD: In case you had any doubts about the federal authority over water flow, once they are involved. From Ken Taylor on 23 April 2011 - Image above: Inside the Federal 9nth Circuit Court in San Francisco where Hawaii appeals are heard. From (http://www.allvoices.com/news/8564298/image/69946181-a-view-of-the-9th-circuit-court-of-appeals-during-the-hearing-on-california-s-proposition-8). In the case of The State of California versus the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission #495 U.S. 490 (1990): Facts. FERC and the State agency with authority to issue water quality certification disagreed on the appropriate interim flow for a project. FERC issued an order in which it concluded it had exclusive jurisdiction to set minimum flows. FERC denied the State agency’s request for rehearing of the order, and the State appealed. The court of appeals affirmed FERC’s order denying rehearing, and the Supreme Court granted certiorari. Issue. Does FERC have exclusive jurisdiction to determine the minimum flow schedule for a hydropower project? Holding. FERC has exclusive jurisdiction to set the flow schedule for a hydropower project to the extent that the schedule provides for non-proprietary uses of water. The Court’s holding relied heavily on the precedent established in First Iowa Hydro- Electric Coop. v. FPC, 328 U.S. 152 (1946). The Court in First Iowa held that the effect of Federal Power Act (FPA) § 27, which protects certain state laws from supersedure, was limited to laws governing the control, appropriation, use or distribution of water in irrigation or for municipal or other uses of the same nature. Here, the Court cited three reasons for upholding this interpretation of FPA § 27. First, the Court cited the strong deference courts must give to precedent. Second, the Court noted the “highly complex and long-enduring regime” that would have to be restructured as a result of accepting the State’s reading of the statute. Third, the Court rejected the State’s contention that the relevant portion of First Iowa was dicta, finding instead that the Court’s interpretation of § 27 of the FPA was essential to the Court’s rationale in its resolving the primary dispute in that case. The Court concluded that FPA § 27 allows federal preemption for all non-proprietary uses of water, but preserves the States’ authority to determine proprietary uses of water, i.e., distribution of water for municipal uses. For entire PDF file (1 meg) that is the source of material above: (http://www.islandbreath.org/2011Year/04/110423cal_vs_ferc.pdf) .

Express to the Basement

SUBHEAD: According to Mark Twain, “civilization is the limitless multiplication of unnecessary necessities.” By Guy McPherson on 17 April 2011 for nature bats Last - (http://guymcpherson.com/2011/04/like-an-elevator-when-the-cable-breaks) Image above: The elevator hall near the trolley entrance of the abandoned Michigan Central Depot train station in Detroit. "Express elevator to hell... going down!" photo by Joe Braun. From (http://www.citrusmilo.com/mcs/depot03.cfm).

It seems western civilization is just about done with the mindless multiplication of anything, much less unnecessary nonsense.

It’s too late for a fast collapse of the industrial economy. According to every significant index, the U.S. hit its economic peak in 2000. We’ve been in the midst of an economic recession since 2000. We’ve been mired in an economic depression since 2008, when the industrial age came within an eyelash of reaching its overdue terminus. [Editor's note: We had a clarifying phone conversation with Guy, and took away that the USA has been going through collapse since our homegrown crude production peaked back in the early 1970's].

Even Ben Bernanke admitted as much, years after the meltdown on Wall Street. When all the banks fail — or even a significant proportion of them — we’ll suddenly lose access to the fiat currency that allows the current set of living arrangements to persist. I strongly suspect the high price of oil had a lot to do with the near meltdown in 2008, a notion consistent with oil price spikes preceding every economic recession since 1972.

When the next spike in the price of oil hits us, we’ll see another huge downturn for the industrial economy. According to more than 70 pundits, it’ll be the one that puts western civilization in the abattoir. This would be no surprise, given the fragility of the industrial economy and its near-termination back in 2008, when it was on much stronger footing than now. Oil priced at $140 barrel is almost certainly coming this year, and that should do the trick, much to the astonishment of those who believe the industrial economy is unaffected by spikes in the price of oil, or that its long-time decline can turn into a collapse.

Even Bank of America has joined the rising tide of voices calling for the price of crude to exceed $140/bbl within the next three months. And no wonder, with OPEC raising expectations of world demand after Saudi Arabia and OPEC have peaked.

As I’ve pointed out many times, and as Japan is making clear right now, economic growth is all about oil consumption. We’re falling off the oil-supply cliff this year, according to many sources, including the U.S. Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration and the Joint Operating Environment of the U.S. military.

I don’t know the terminology for a sudden stop of the industrial economy. I don’t think terms such as hyperinflation and deflation apply, and economists rarely use the phrase, “industrial economy crushed by Godzilla.” As with any leap off a skyscraper, it’s not the fall that’s fatal: It’s the sudden stop at the bottom.

The rapid collapse of AIG back in September 2008 is a harbinger of an equally rapid failure of the Fed, hence our entire monetary system. The only difference is that this time there will be nobody to bail out the ultimate backstopper and, as a result, we will observe the long overdue termination of a failed experiment.

Here’s one analogy: We’re in an aerial tram, suspended a few thousand feet above the valley floor by a sturdy, steel, 2-inch-diameter cable. But the cable is comprised of thousands of tightly wrapped strands, all of which are hundreds of years old and half of which have already broken. The remaining strands are breaking at an increasingly rapid pace as the pressure builds. The U.S. Federal Reserve Bank has been holding this sucker together with duct tape and baling wire, but King Ben is fresh out of both items.

I find it a bit odd — no doubt because of bias inherent in my life as a scientist — that artists have a better understanding of reality than do scientists. Matchbox Twenty provides one example (thanks to Mike Sliwa for the tip).

And while we’re on the topic of rearranging the deck chairs as the Titanic takes on water, the international community is rightly aghast at North Korea for spending a fortune on its military when its populace is suffering. Nearly one quarter of North Korea’s population is either starving or at risk of starvation, according to a recent UN report, yet its government pours money into missile and nuclear programs. Such behavior seems to be the height of irrationality, especially when you consider they stole the model for this behavior from the U.S.

I realize you and I had little to do with the dire straits in which we are immersed (i.e., we didn’t fuck it up). But we’ll be paying a high price.

No matter how many times I point out the acceleration of this ongoing slow decline, people take issue. I suspect it’s the primary reason Energy Bulletin and similar websites do not carry my essays. It can’t happen here. This time is different. There’ll be plenty of warning. And so on. In response to the insanity of the herd’s groupthink, I turn to Nietzsche for solace: “The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself.”

The seemingly rapid collapse of the former Soviet Union — the latest superpower to hit bottom, never to recover — actually took a few years to transpire. The collapse was faster than the ongoing collapse of the current system, but I have the distinct impression Obama is a conniving version of Gorbachev. A few informed people saw the Soviet collapse coming and sounded the klaxons, but government officials did not post warning signs on the nightly news.

Quibbling over minor differences between socialist news delivered by and for the Politburo and fascist news delivered by and for the Corporatocracy seems irrelevant at this point. As Oliver Stone points out, Barack Obama could take a lesson from Mikhail Gorbachev about how to dismantle a dysfunctional empire that has long overstayed its welcome.

Warning shots have been plentiful. The masses have completely ignored these many shots. The next shot likely will be terminal for the industrial economy.

The decline of the U.S. industrial economy has been a slow-motion, ongoing process, albeit with several steps down along the way. If we’re lucky, the next step leads right off a skyscraper, thus leading to a sudden stop at the sidewalk below. Obviously, this is the only legitimate remaining opportunity to prevent the near-term extinction of the many species we drive to extinction every day, as well as our own species. And, of course, it will allow us to see the end of Twain’s limitless multiplication of unnecessary necessities.

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